Perception of Randomness: Subjective Probability of Alternation


We present a statistical account for the subjective probability of alternation in people’s perception of randomness. By examining the spatio-temporal distances between pattern events, specifically, the frequency and delay of binary patterns in a Markov chain, we obtain some normative measures to calibrate people’s expectation of randomness. We suggest that it can be fruitful to study subjective randomness in the context of human object representation and perception of time and space.

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